FedSift Market Reports
One U.S. federal market, broken down every other week: who buys, who wins, where contracting officers are asking for sellers and not finding them, and which contracts come up for recompete. Obligations only, never IDIQ ceilings.
Rewiring the Sky
FAA contract obligations rose from $6.03B to $9.86B in the first year of the air traffic control rebuild. Radar spending grew 3.9×, the top ten recipients took 48.6%, and small firms' share of new-award dollars fell from 34.2% to 22.5%. $4.76B reaches its end date by March 2028.
The Magazine Refill
$37.4B obligated for missiles and munitions from October 2025 to June 2026, 1.9× a year earlier, after the Iran war drew down U.S. interceptor stocks. Two firms took 76.7%; at least 77% flowed through contracts that existed before the war; 83% of new-award dollars were not competed. $29.6B reaches its end date by March 2028.
The Parts Gap
$19.0B in new FY2025 awards for military aircraft and engine parts (2.8× FY2023) from a supplier base that did not grow. 33.9% of parts notices limit award to approved sources. Small firms took 5.2%, SDVOSBs 0.70%. $7.1B reaches its end date by March 2028.
Where the Drone Money Goes
$647M obligated in FY2025 (3.1× FY2024). Top five vendors take 70.5%. Drone notices are Sources Sought at 2.4× the federal rate, counter-UAS at 33.7%. $263.6M up for recompete by Sep 2028.
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Federal Recompete Outlook 2026
$193.2 billion in federal contracts reach their end date by March 2028: when they end, which agencies and industries hold them, and where small firms can compete. With method and N.